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The Dali Lama is the leader-in-exile of the Tibetan Buddhist faith and a major leader of the Tibetan people. As Tibet is a part of China, the actions of the Dali Lama make him a political dissident and thus potentially liable for prosecution and imprisonment if he were to return to Tibet.
The Chinese ivaded Tibet in 1959 following a Tibetan national uprising and he had to flee into permanent exile. He has refused repeated invitations to return but would only do so if his country was given full independence. He has since said that he would accept Tibetan self government in association with China. This has not yet been granted.
Because the Dalai Lama is by default the head of Tibetan government, his return could result in conflict with the Chinese occupation. However, nobody else is prepared to help him or his country, so it is not safe for him to go back.
Because he's in self-imposed exile. He fled from Tibet due to the 1959 revolt. He fears for his safety if he were to return.
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