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All reserve estimates involve uncertainty, depending on the amount of reliable geologic and engineering data available and the interpretation of those data. Some countries also falsify data for political reasons. Usually, initial estimates are low and tend to grow in time.

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12y ago
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5mo ago

Crude oil reserve estimates can be unreliable due to factors such as lack of transparency from oil-producing countries, limited access to exploration data, changing technology affecting extraction methods, and political or economic motivations to overstate or understate reserves for strategic reasons. Additionally, the complex geology of oil reservoirs can make it challenging to accurately assess the size and recoverability of reserves.

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Q: Why crude oil reserve estimates somewhat unreliable?
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