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The earth's crust has many major fault areas where the risk of earthquakes or volcanic activity remain very high. One such area is the "Ring of Fire", which extends from the Pacific Coast at Asia, around to Alaska, down the western USA coast, and over to the Carribean. Most earthquakes happen along that "Ring" including underwater volcanoes. A second major fault line is at New Madrid, Missouri, USA.

Incidence

Every day, very small tremors occur in many places. The earth's mantel is constantly moving along fault lines where the earth is "fractured". One type of fault line "slides" along each other until it cannot move further. However, the pressure still builds even when the two surfaces aren't moving, resulting in a much larger earthquake when the pressure releases. Another type of fault rarely moves but in its stationary position, greater forces build up below and between the fault line, again causing very large quakes when the surfaces finally move past each other. The recent earthquake in Haiti took 200 years to build pressure against the two surfaces of the fault line. The last major earthquake at New Madrid, Mo. was in approximately 1812. Newspapers report that the quake was felt as far away as the Atlantic shore and caused the Mississippi River to flow backwards. The earthquake that hit California in the 1980s or 1990s was a "small" quake compared to the one at New Madrid.

Thus, the earth's ever-changing mantel and layers along fault lines is the greatest risk factor in producing an earthquake. Also, seismolgists have shown that quakes follow quakes. Not only are there after-shocks, a massive earthquake can cause faults in other locations to move, thus producing quakes in other areas weeks, months, or years later. A "few years" in geology is miniscule compared to millions of years for most geological events, so a quake following in "a few years" is a very, very short period of time.

Effects

Even small earthquakes can cause massive damage to buildings and bridges if these are constructed poorly. The types of buildings in Haiti were baked earthen and cement structures with no steel or rebar reinforcement. Engineers say that buildings with reinforcement can more easily sway but not crumble, while un-reinforced concrete or earthen materials simply collapse. The weight of material cascades down, breaking apart any material below it, as seen in Haiti recently. Numerous injuries and deaths result from the collapsing structures, more than from the earth moving while people are outside the structures. However, falling debris (bricks, mortar, etc) can also kill.

As well, we saw how even in developed areas like California, with reinforced concrete bridges and buildings, there can be massive collapses of infra-structures. The main Interstate with multiple levels "pancaked" as each tier collapsed. One of the biggest concerns in California centers on how well their aging but multi-tied bridges will withstand the next "big one".

Future

While most people focus on California, USA, scientists repeatedly warn about the potential of a large new quake at New Madrid. They predict the devastation could be massive since there is a large population in that area. And a quake at New Madrid could change the beds of streams, creeks, and rivers, similar to the changed coastline that occurred at Haiti.

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βˆ™ 14y ago
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βˆ™ 6mo ago

Some risk factors of earthquakes include proximity to tectonic plate boundaries, geological faults, and previous seismic activity. Building structures in seismically-active areas without proper engineering and construction standards can also increase the risk of damage. Population density and lack of preparedness can exacerbate the impact of an earthquake.

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βˆ™ 15y ago

Living on the edges of plate boundaries put's you at high risk of earthquakes. There is a geological feature known as the 'ring of fire' near Indonesia where many tectonic plates collide causing many quakes.

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Q: What are the risk factors of an earthquake?
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Two factors that help geologists determine earthquake risk are the history of seismic activity in the region and the presence of active fault lines. By studying past earthquakes and fault lines, geologists can assess the likelihood and potential impact of future earthquakes in a specific area.


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If such pattern does exist could you use it to determine where high risk earthquakes zones are located?

While patterns in earthquake occurrence can provide insights into high-risk areas, they are not foolproof predictors. Seismologists use a combination of historical data, fault mapping, and geological studies to identify regions prone to earthquakes. Factors such as fault activity, tectonic plate boundaries, and local geology play key roles in determining earthquake risk.


What can help a geologist determine the earthquake risk for an area?

A geologist can determine earthquake risk for an area by studying the region's history of seismic activity, fault lines, and geological structure. They also analyze ground shaking potential, soil types, and building vulnerabilities to assess the level of risk. Advanced techniques such as seismic imaging and geophysical surveys can provide further insights into the earthquake hazard of an area.


What is the main factor in determining the risk that a location might have an earthquake?

The main factor determining earthquake risk in a location is its proximity to tectonic plate boundaries. Areas near convergent plate boundaries, transform plate boundaries, or along faults are at a higher risk of experiencing earthquakes due to tectonic activity.

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