Depends. If it is a serviceable transmission- Yes, it will break down over time as well as absorb moisture from the air. Older vehicles even have to have band adjustment specs. Refer to your owners guide, if you dont have a copy, the manufacturer's website should have the maintenance specifications available at no charge. Different types of fluids are not compatible, be sure to get the right type or you will damage your transmission.
Newer car's have non serviceable transmissions. Easy way to check is, if you don't have a dipstick the fluid is lifetime. These transmissions have solenoids that adjust line pressures in the transmission to adjust for wear(as the input/output shaft sensors detect slippage. When these transmissions doesn't work properly anymore more than likely, it needs to be rebuilt.
Just because the trans does not have a dipstick does not mean that the fluid never needs checked or changed. Check your owners manual for service schedules.
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it is sugested that you change the fluid every sixty or so thousand, however there isn't relly that much going on in a manul transmission so you don't ever need to change it.
Transmission fluid changes cost so much because of the location of where the fluid will be changed. Also because, like many cars this car may require a special type of transmission fluid based on its age and mileage.
Change it - to avoid a potential future problem.
The VW Beetle does not have clutch fluid. There is not any fluid associated with the clutch. The transmission has transmission fluid.
You could remove the transmission and pour it out of the rear driveshaft seal. But I would recommend dropping the pan.