No. The distance from Australia's island state of Tasmania to the closest point on the Victorian mainland is around 240 km. The only land position where one can actually one state from the other is on the official land border between Victoria and Tasmania, Boundary Islet in Bass Strait, which lies at 39°12' S. But there is no point where one can see the island state of Tasmania from the mainland state of Victoria.
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No, Victoria isn't in Tasmania. Victoria is a mainland state of Australia and Tasmania is an island state of Australia. The two are separated by Bass Strait.
Yes with the help of atmospheric refraction, typically on a cold winter's day you can see mainland Tasmania on the horizon from Cooee farm, Wonyip Victoria.